Thursday, September 9, 2010

Gold for the Greatest Season of All Time Goes to....

The results are in! After concocting a weighted scoring system(see below for calculations and explanation of scoring system), below are my results for the greatest season of all time. To see the stats of all 13 nominees, see yesterday's post. Feel free to comment and argue about the results! I hope to do a subjective ranking sometime later, but I think these actually came out reasonably well:

GOLD: Haile Gebresalassie 1998(62.75 points)- Geb takes the title anchored by the strength of his outstanding world records in the 5000 and 10000 that have more than stood the test of time even as the great Kenenisa Bekele has erased them from the top spot in each event. What separates Geb from the rest of the pack, however, was his incredible range in 1998 that allowed him to accrue extra points for spectacular performances in shorter events like the indoor 1500(3:31.76 indoors!) and the outdoors 3000(7:25.09). From 3:31 on a 200 meter track to 26:22 for a 25 lap race, Geb's 1998 was an incredible display of speed and endurance. Probably the best display of the entire package was in Geb's WR 12:39.36 where he ran a 3:59.36 last 1600 on his own (in fact the last 5:55 were solo) to set the WR and astonish announcer Tim Hutchings: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vnyx06yjhU4 ,

SILVER: Kenenisa Bekele 2004(56 points)- The only thing that one could quibble with in Bekele's record-breaking 2004 season was his passive tactics against Hicham El Guerrouj in the Athens Olympics 5000 meter final that likely cost him double gold. Otherwise, Bekele managed to not only obliterate his competition in the 10,000 championship race (4 second margin of victory with a mind-boggling 52 second last lap), but to chase and set some of the most untouchable records out there in the 5000(indoors and outdoors- unchallenged since he set them) and 10,000(since then, challenged only by himself). To this day, Bekele has never lost a 10,000 meter race and there are only 3 runners in history who can even sniff his record times in the 5000(Komen and Geb).

BRONZE: Sebastian Coe 1981(51.5 points)- After an Olympiad of bitter defeat (a devastating loss to countryman Steve Ovett in the 800) and redemptive triumph (a gold medal in the 1500), Coe came out with a fury in the 1981 season determinedly chasing records in a season that reshaped middle distance. Coe brought the middle distance world into a new stratosphere with the first ever sub-1:42 clocking and his 2:12.18 1000 meter world record that has held up astonishingly well, too. In the 1500 and mile, he battled rival Ovett with passionate fervor and ended up trumping Ovett just as he had the year before with a 3:47 mile.

4. Daniel Komen 1997 (49 points)
T5. Wilson Kipketer 1997(47.5 points)
T5. Hicham El Guerrouj 1999 (47.5 points)
7. Nourredine Morceli 1995 (41.75 points)
8. David Rudisha 2010 (36.5 points)
9. Steve Cram 1985 (35 points)
10. Noah Ngeny 1999 (33 points)
11. Moses Kiptanui 1995(27.5 points)
12. Said Saaeeef Shaheen 2005(24.5 points)
13. Said Aouita 1987(23 points)

The scoring system:

World Record in major event outdoors: (800, 1000, mile, 3000, 2 mile -conversion dependent-Steeplechase, 5000, 10,000)= 10 points (limit one bonus per event)
World Record in minor event(2000, 2 mile -conversion dependent-) or any indoor race = 5 points

World Championships/Olympic Games Gold Medal- 5 points
World Championships/Olympic Games Silver Medal- 2 points
Time Bonuses in major events (10 for #1 AT, 9 for #2 AT, 8.5 for #3 AT, 8 for #4 AT...and so on) Time Bonuses in minor events/indoor races are divided by 2 (note: outdoor 1000 considered minor for time bonus purposes, also max one time bonus per event indoors, and 3 time bonuses per event outdoors)

Athlete Scoring:
Steve Cram 1985:
2:12.88 = 4 points(time bonus)
3:29.67= 10 points (WR)
3:46.32 =10 points(WR)+4.5(time bonus)
4:51.39=5 points(WR)+1.5(time bonus)
Total 35 points

Sebastian Coe 1981:
1:41.73=10 points (WR) + 7 points(time bonus)
2:12.18=10 points (WR) + 4.5 points (time bonus)
3:31.95=10 points (WR)
3:47.33=10 points (WR)
Total 51.5 points

Daniel Komen 1997:
3:46.38= 4 points (time bonus)
7:58.61= 10 points(WR) + 5 points (time bonus)
12:39.74= 10 points (WR) + 8.5 points (time bonus)+6.5 points (time bonus)
WC Gold (5 points)
Total 49 points

Kenenisa Bekele 2004:
12:37.35= 10 points(WR) + 10 points (time bonus)
12:49.6i= 5 points(WR) + 5 points (time bonus)
26:20.31= 10 points(WR) + 9 points (time bonus)
Olympic Gold + Silver = 7 points
Total 56 points

Moses Kiptanui 1995:
7:27.18= 2.5 points (time bonus)
7:59.18= 10 points (WR)
12:55.30=10 points (WR)
WC Gold= 5 points
Total 27.5 points

Wilson Kipketer 1997:
1:41.11= 10 points(WR)+8.5 points(time bonus)+8(time bonus)+7(time bonus)
1:42.67i=5 points+5 points (time bonus)
WC Gold =5 points
Total 47.5 points

Hicham El Guerrouj 1999:
3:27.65= 3.5 points (time bonus)
3:43.13= 10 points(WR) + 10 points(time bonus)
4:44.79= 5 points(WR) + 5 points (time bonus)
7:23.09= 9 points (time bonus)
WC Gold= 5 points
Total 47.5 points

Nourredine Morceli 1995:
3:27.37=10 points(WR)+5.5(time bonus)+4.5(time bonus)
3:45.19=6.5 points(time bonus)
4:47.88=5 points(WR)+ 4.25 points(time bonus)
7:27.5=1 point (time bonus)
WC gold =5 points
Total 41.75 points

David Rudisha 2010:
1:41.01= 10 points(WR)+ 10 points(time bonus)+9(time bonus)+7.5 (time bonus)
Total 36.5 points

Haile Gebresalassie 1998:
3:31.76i=4.5 points (time bonus)
4;52.86i= 2.5 points(WR)+ 2.25 points (time bonus)
7:25.09= 8 points(time bonus)+6.5 points(time bonus)+1.5 points (time bonus)
12:39.36=10 points(WR)+9 (time bonus)
26:22.75=10 points (WR)+ 8.5 points (time bonus)
Total 62.75 points

Noah Ngeny 1999:
2:11.96= 10 points (WR) + 5 points(time bonus)+4.25 points (time bonus)
3:43.4= 9 points (time bonus)
4:50.08= 2.75 points (time bonus)
WC Silver = 2 points
33 points

Saif Saaeed Shaheen 2005:
7:55.51= 8.5 points(time bonus)+6.5 points(time bonus)+4.5 points (time bonus)
WC Gold =5 points
24.5 points

Said Aouita 1987:
3:46.76= 3 points (time bonus)
8:13.45= 5 points (WR)
12:58.39= 10 points (WR)
WC Gold = 5 points
23 points

4 comments:

  1. I think an Olympic or WC Gold medal should be worth as much or more than a WR. You need to get it right on the day, whereas you can get a few cracks at a WR. Ask most athletes what they would prefer, a WR or an Olympic title, and they will say a title

    ReplyDelete
  2. Definitely a valid point. The reason I have it at fewer points is I don't want to put non-championship years at an unfair disadvantage(with no chance to get those points), not because I value it less than a WR. I set it a 5 because it does potentially lead to less record-chasing, so it has to be credited it in some way. The fact that all of these guys besides Rudisha have gold medals (sometimes not in the season I picked) makes me think that at the peak of their powers they could get it right on the day as you said. Thanks for the comment and it definitely is a tough balancing act weighing times with championships

    ReplyDelete
  3. Tirunesh Dibaba 2008:
    5K: 14:11.15 = 10 (WR) + 10 (time bonus)
    5K: 14:23.46 = 7.5 (time bonus)
    10K: 29:54.66 = 5 (Olympic Gold) + 8.5 (time bonus)
    5K: 15:41.40 = 5 (Olympic Gold)

    Total 46.0 points

    AND... she won the World XC long course title in 2008. No doubt one of the greatest LDR seasons in history

    ReplyDelete
  4. Wow, that is pretty amazing. Not to mention the 10,000 meter record by the Chinese athlete Wang Junxia is pretty questionable.

    ReplyDelete